Lead
Mitt Romney won the Iowa Primary by a razor thin 8 vote margin. Barack Obama will win the Presidency in Election 2012.
The numbers:
1.Romney 24.60% 30,015
2.Santorum 24.50% 30,007
3.Paul 21.40% 26,219
4.Gingrich 13.30% 16,251
5.Perry 10.30% 12,604
6.Bachmann 05.00% 6,073
7.Huntsman 00.60% 745
Source: USA TODAY
Our Take
The GOP is bitterly divided. It is probably more divided today than it was in 1964 when Barry Goldwater won the GOP nomination for President.
Conservatives simply will not consolidate behind Romney. Santorum is weak. Gingrich, a real conservative horse in the race, is too far behind. Cain, who we believe would be the GOP’s best hope to beat Obama, is on the sidelines.
We can close the books on Election 2012. Barack Obama most certainly will win reelection.
So, we need to start thinking about and talking about Election 2016.


IOWA: winner, losers
LEAD (Revised)
This is MJB’s call of the winner, there only can be one, and losers, the also rans, in the Iowa Primary for Tuesday, January 3, 2012:
1. Newt Gingrich
2. Rick Santorum
3. Herman Cain
4. Rick Perry
5. John Huntsman
6. Mitt Romney
7. Michelle Bachmann
8. Ron Paul
Comment
What do you think?
Do you think it’s between Romney and Paul as the polls and commentators have suggested?
Hint: the polls and the commentators could be wrong!
Will the outcomes in Iowa set the stage for the wins and losses in upcoming primaries?
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Posted by marcjan on December 30, 2011 in Commentary, Politics
Tags: Elections, Iowa Primary, Politics, politics news, Presidential Election